Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Lausanne Sport
24.5%
Draw
56.1%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Lausanne Sport
vs
2.05
Thun
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).