Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
AFC Wimbledon
31.2%
Draw
33.0%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.90
Notts County
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.3%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).