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09 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Antalyaspor
35.4%
Draw
35.8%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Antalyaspor

vs
1.19

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.7%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).