Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
Strasbourg
14.0%
Draw
9.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Strasbourg
vs
0.84
Metz
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).