Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Stockport
19.9%
Draw
20.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Stockport
vs
1.15
Swindon
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).