Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Almeria
22.6%
Draw
24.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Almeria
vs
1.17
Girona
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).