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HHT: 11CSV

20 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Stockport
22.4%
Draw
25.6%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Stockport

vs
1.08

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).