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14 Dec 2021 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.7%
Cercle Brugge
19.3%
Draw
12.0%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

2.23

Cercle Brugge

vs
0.83

Seraing

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.2%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).