Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Kasımpaşa
27.0%
Draw
54.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Kasımpaşa
vs
1.94
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).