Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.3%
Niort
14.6%
Draw
74.1%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Niort
vs
2.55
Metz
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).