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28 Aug 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Nice
16.5%
Draw
16.9%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

2.57

Nice

vs
1.24

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS65.2%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.0%
3-2
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).