Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Eibar
26.9%
Draw
34.0%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Eibar
vs
1.27
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).