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23 Nov 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.2%
St Etienne
17.9%
Draw
14.9%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

St Etienne

vs
0.99

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).