Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Milton Keynes Dons
26.0%
Draw
26.0%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.88
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).