Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Mantova
27.9%
Draw
23.2%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Mantova
vs
1.00
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).