Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Ternana
29.6%
Draw
26.8%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Ternana
vs
1.03
Spezia
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).