Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Colchester
28.1%
Draw
37.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Colchester
vs
1.13
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).