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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.3%
Cracovia Kraków
32.1%
Draw
28.6%
Korona Kielce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Cracovia Kraków

vs
0.94

Korona Kielce

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).