Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Port Vale
25.2%
Draw
37.4%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Port Vale
vs
1.22
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).