Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.3%
Sutton
18.0%
Draw
69.7%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Sutton
vs
2.50
York
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).