Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Marseille
21.8%
Draw
45.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Marseille
vs
1.77
Lens
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).