Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
M'gladbach
23.6%
Draw
48.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
M'gladbach
vs
1.91
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).