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AHT: 01

05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
AC London
30.3%
Draw
36.3%
Hartberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

AC London

vs
1.17

Hartberg

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).