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05 Oct 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.4%
Fleetwood Town
24.0%
Draw
46.7%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.57

Bromley

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).