Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Holstein Kiel
23.1%
Draw
34.3%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.71
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS70.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).