⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

08 Nov 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
52.9%
Millwall
27.5%
Draw
19.6%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Millwall

vs
0.85

Preston

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).