Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Cartagena
23.2%
Draw
53.8%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cartagena
vs
1.77
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).