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29 May 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.7%
Bromley
26.8%
Draw
52.5%
Notts County

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Bromley

vs
1.62

Notts County

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).