Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Shrewsbury
24.3%
Draw
50.6%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Shrewsbury
vs
1.58
Salford
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).