Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Truro
23.7%
Draw
50.9%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Truro
vs
1.94
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).