Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Almeria
22.2%
Draw
22.4%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Almeria
vs
1.12
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).