Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Gillingham
24.5%
Draw
24.8%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Gillingham
vs
1.00
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).