Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Burnley
25.8%
Draw
45.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Burnley
vs
1.79
Leeds
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).