Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.9%
Hoffenheim
13.5%
Draw
7.6%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Hoffenheim
vs
0.88
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).