Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Walsall
29.8%
Draw
39.0%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Walsall
vs
1.06
Northampton
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).