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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Widzew Lodz
26.4%
Draw
20.1%
Nieciecza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Widzew Lodz

vs
0.93

Nieciecza

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).