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HHT: 00CSV

06 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Stranraer
43.2%
Draw
41.2%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

0.36

Stranraer

vs
0.76

East Fife

Markets

BTTS16.9%
Over 0.567.0%
Over 1.531.7%
Over 2.510.5%
Over 3.52.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
33.0%
0-1
24.1%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
2-1
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-2
0.6%
0-4
0.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).