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06 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.1%
Livingston
27.3%
Draw
36.6%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Livingston

vs
1.34

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).