Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Lugo
33.3%
Draw
38.5%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Lugo
vs
0.96
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
0-1
17.1%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).