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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.6%
Arbroath
19.0%
Draw
14.4%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.40

Arbroath

vs
1.05

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).