Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Sandhausen
28.5%
Draw
46.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Sandhausen
vs
1.48
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).