Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.3%
Caen
16.8%
Draw
70.9%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Caen
vs
2.21
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.4%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).