Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Amiens
21.9%
Draw
19.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Amiens
vs
0.96
Metz
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).