Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Doncaster
23.5%
Draw
33.1%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Doncaster
vs
1.25
Burton
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).