Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Newport County
16.2%
Draw
70.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Newport County
vs
2.46
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).