Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Fiorentina
22.6%
Draw
21.9%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Fiorentina
vs
1.05
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).