Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Marseille
20.6%
Draw
29.3%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Marseille
vs
1.48
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).