Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Tenerife
29.8%
Draw
29.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Tenerife
vs
0.92
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).