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30 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.8%
Dundee United
13.7%
Draw
4.5%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

2.76

Dundee United

vs
0.58

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.5%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).