Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Auxerre
15.9%
Draw
13.8%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Auxerre
vs
0.97
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).